Chances of Ghana’s smaller political parties participating in the 2020 general elections will remain slim according to the third wave of the Ghana Election Poll which recorded just 4% of the respondents selecting neither NPP nor NDC.
The scientific poll which was conducted online via the renowned market research firm MSI-ACI had 2,246 responses from Ghanaians, a little more than the 2,055 responses recorded in the Second Wave.
Twenty percent of Ghanaian voters claimed they would vote for the New Patriotic Party (NPP) if elections were held today, while 76% of respondents claimed they would vote for the National Democratic Congress (NDC).
Over 90 percent of the respondents were living in Ghana and the rest were living in countries including South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Central African Republic and Algeria. At least half of respondents in the survey claimed to not belong to any political party, while those who are NDC/Lean NDC and those who are NPP/Lean NPP were 25% and 21%, respectively
Per the data, the NDC would enjoy broad support across the political divide, including from the NPP party, as well as from Ghanaians who consider themselves as floating voters.
Across regions, the NDC would also enjoy massive support if elections were held today.
Based on gender, both males and females would vote for the NDC by 74% and 78% respectively.
If elections were held today, the NDC would have most age groups voting for it in significant numbers.
Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error (with finite population correction) of plus or minus 2.068%. A representative sample of the Ghanaian population of 28,956,587 – population projection as stated on page 6 of the Ghana Living Standards Survey (GLSS 7) – was achieved by weighting (matching) the data according to age and gender demographics of the 2010 population and housing census and the GLSS 7.
The Ghana Election Poll is powered by GhanaWeb and the Africa Consumer Panel which is a cooperation between the digital publisher Africa Business Communities and renowned market research firm MSI-ACI.
The online poll is conducted every month and the results are published at the beginning of every other month on GhanaWeb.com. It is devoid of spam as the respondents can take the survey only once. The MSI-ACI platform that hosts the survey records the device on which the respondent takes the poll and does not allow for a second attempt from the same device.
The Ghana Election Poll is different from the open-access poll which is running on GhanaWeb. The latter allows participants to self-select into participation and its results cannot be generalized because it is a representative of only the participants of the poll.
Click here to take part in the fourth wave of the Ghana Election Poll.